Indianapolis Colts

Keys

• The model picks the Steelers to win with a 59% probability, compared with 41% for the Colts, at Acrisure Stadium.
• Against the spread, the model leans toward the Steelers, even though the Colts are favored by 5.5 points.
• Both teams enter at 2-2: the Colts bring a two-game winning streak, while the Steelers are coming off a 24-27 loss to the Browns.
• The model projects a 24-21 score in favor of the Steelers, who are 2-0 at home this season.