Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns
Sunday, January 3, 1:00 PM. Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland.
Colts
1:00 PM
Browns
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Indianapolis Colts
- QuestionableChris LammonsFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
- QuestionableJack WilsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
- QuestionableJacob PhillipsBiceps - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
- QuestionableKeenan AllenGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
- QuestionableMike HiltonShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
- QuestionableSean McKeonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
Long-term absences (8)
- I.L.Alec PierceI.L. - Heel
- SidelinedArden KeyHamstring - Out for Week 5 at Pittsburgh. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Cameron MitchellI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Carson TowtI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.D.J. MontgomeryI.L. - Abdomen
- I.L.Micheal ClemonsI.L. - Toe
- UndisclosedReuben Lowery IIIRetired
- I.L.Will MalloryI.L. - Thumb
Cleveland Browns
- QuestionableAaron AndersonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableDom JonesKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableJamari ThrashUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableMason GrahamKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTeven JenkinsBack - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTravis BellEye - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTyreak SappUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTyron HerringUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
Long-term absences (14)
- I.L.Alex WrightI.L. - Achilles
- I.L.Damarri MathisI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Dillon GabrielI.L. - Back
- I.L.Dylan SampsonI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Edefuan UlofoshioI.L. - Biceps
- ConcussionElgton JenkinsInactive for Week 4 vs Pittsburgh
- I.L.Elijah ChatmanI.L. - Quadriceps
- PUP listJeremiah Owusu-KoramoahNeck - Physically Unable to Perform
- NFI listJoe RoyerPersonal - NFI-R for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- SidelinedJustin JeffersonCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs Pittsburgh
- I.L.Kalia DavisI.L. - Quadriceps
- SidelinedNathaniel WatsonKnee - Out for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets. Expected Return - Week 7
- SidelinedTaylen GreenCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Pittsburgh
- KneeTylan WallaceInactive for Week 4 vs Pittsburgh
The two teams
| Colts | Browns | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Home | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Away | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 25.5 | 20.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 26 | 23.8 |
| Streak | Won 2 | Won 3 |
| Division rank | 2nd in the AFC South | 1st in the AFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record