Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans
Sunday, December 20, 1:00 PM. Nissan Stadium, Nashville.
Colts
1:00 PM
Titans
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Indianapolis Colts
- QuestionableChris LammonsFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
- QuestionableJack WilsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
- QuestionableJacob PhillipsBiceps - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
- QuestionableKeenan AllenGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
- QuestionableMike HiltonShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
- QuestionableSean McKeonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
Long-term absences (8)
- I.L.Alec PierceI.L. - Heel
- SidelinedArden KeyHamstring - Out for Week 5 at Pittsburgh. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Cameron MitchellI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Carson TowtI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.D.J. MontgomeryI.L. - Abdomen
- I.L.Micheal ClemonsI.L. - Toe
- UndisclosedReuben Lowery IIIRetired
- I.L.Will MalloryI.L. - Thumb
Tennessee Titans
- QuestionableDominique HamptonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Houston
- QuestionableJalyn Armour-DavisAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Houston
- QuestionableNazeeh JohnsonAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Houston
- QuestionableSean BrownUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Houston
- QuestionableShadrach BanksUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Houston
Long-term absences (9)
- I.L.Dorian MausiI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Fernando Carmona Jr.I.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Jackson SlaterI.L. - Foot
- I.L.Jaren KanakI.L. - Pectoral
- I.L.Jaylen HarrellI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Joshua WilliamsI.L. - Pectoral
- I.L.Kendell BrooksI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Milo EiflerI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Tanoh KpassagnonI.L. - Undisclosed
The two teams
| Colts | Titans | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Home | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Away | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Points per game | 25.5 | 13.8 |
| Points allowed per game | 26 | 20.8 |
| Streak | Won 2 | Lost 4 |
| Division rank | 2nd in the AFC South | 4th in the AFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record