Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, September 13, 1:00 PM. Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis.
41
Final
23
Ravens 41, Colts 23
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Baltimore Ravens
- QuestionableAndrew VorheesFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableChris MooreAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableDeonte HartyKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableDurham SmytheAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableLamar JacksonAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableMarlon HumphreyCalf - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableReid WillifordUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableRonnie StanleyToe - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableTrey HendricksonFinger - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
Long-term absences (8)
- I.L.Adam RandallI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Bilhal KoneI.L. - Lower Body
- I.L.Danny PinterI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Ethan PocicI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Jahquez RobinsonI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jovaughn GwynI.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Skylar ThompsonI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.T.J. TampaI.L. - Knee
Indianapolis Colts
- QuestionableChris LammonsFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
- QuestionableJack WilsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
- QuestionableJacob PhillipsBiceps - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
- QuestionableKeenan AllenGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
- QuestionableMike HiltonShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
- QuestionableSean McKeonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Pittsburgh
Long-term absences (8)
- I.L.Alec PierceI.L. - Heel
- SidelinedArden KeyHamstring - Out for Week 5 at Pittsburgh. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Cameron MitchellI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Carson TowtI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.D.J. MontgomeryI.L. - Abdomen
- I.L.Micheal ClemonsI.L. - Toe
- UndisclosedReuben Lowery IIIRetired
- I.L.Will MalloryI.L. - Thumb
The two teams
| Ravens | Colts | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Home | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Away | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 29 | 25.5 |
| Points allowed per game | 24 | 26 |
| Streak | Won 2 | Won 2 |
| Division rank | 2nd in the AFC North | 2nd in the AFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record