New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears
Sunday, November 22, 1:00 PM. Soldier Field, Chicago.
Saints
1:00 PM
Bears
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
New Orleans Saints
- QuestionableBarry WesleyUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- QuestionableDalys BeanumUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- QuestionableDamien AlfordUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- QuestionableDavon GodchauxGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- QuestionableKeeshawn SilverUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
Long-term absences (20)
- KneeAnfernee JenningsInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Bryan BreseeI.L. - Knee - ACL
- AnkleCarl GrandersonInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- SidelinedChristen MillerCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- SidelinedDecamerion RichardsonCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- UndisclosedDerek CarrRetired
- I.L.Dillon RadunzI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jaylan FordI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jordyn TysonI.L. - Hamstring
- CalfKaden EllissInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Kelvin Banks Jr.I.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Lorenzo StylesI.L. - Calf
- PUP listMason TiptonLeg - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Moliki MatavaoI.L. - Knee
- PUP listNick SaldiveriKnee - Physically Unable to Perform
- AbdomenNoah FantInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Rejzohn WrightI.L. - Hip
- I.L.Ty ChandlerI.L. - Knee
- SidelinedZach WilsonCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Zach WoodI.L. - Calf
Chicago Bears
- QuestionableCam LewisHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableDontae ManningUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableGervarrius OwensUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableKenechukwu EziomumeUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableKyle MonangaiThumb - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableKyron HudsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableRicky StrombergUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableTy SummersFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
Long-term absences (16)
- SidelinedAnthony Johnson Jr.Undisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Braxton JonesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Brittain BrownI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedCaleb WilliamsHamstring - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Coby BryantI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Dallis FlowersI.L. - Leg
- UndisclosedDrew DalmanRetired
- I.L.Hayden LargeI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jonathan GarvinI.L. - Undisclosed
- PUP listKyler GordonCalf - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Nephi SewellI.L. - Concussion
- I.L.Nikola KalinicI.L. - Knee
- PUP listNoah SewellAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Ruben Hyppolite III.L. - Shoulder
- PUP listShemar TurnerKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Tony Fields III.L. - Undisclosed
The two teams
| Saints | Bears | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Home | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Away | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Points per game | 26.3 | 28 |
| Points allowed per game | 32 | 16.3 |
| Streak | Lost 2 | Won 2 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the NFC South | 2nd in the NFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record