New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears
domingo 22 de noviembre a las 19:00. Soldier Field, Chicago.
Saints
19:00
Bears
El pick del modelo
El pick se publica en la semana del partido.
Claves
Las claves se publican el jueves de la semana del partido.
Quarterbacks titulares
Sin datos del quarterback titular.
Parte de lesiones
New Orleans Saints
- En dudaBarry WesleyUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- En dudaDalys BeanumUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- En dudaDamien AlfordUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- En dudaDavon GodchauxGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- En dudaKeeshawn SilverUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
Bajas de larga duración (20)
- KneeAnfernee JenningsInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Bryan BreseeI.L. - Knee - ACL
- AnkleCarl GrandersonInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- SidelinedChristen MillerCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- SidelinedDecamerion RichardsonCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- UndisclosedDerek CarrRetired
- I.L.Dillon RadunzI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jaylan FordI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jordyn TysonI.L. - Hamstring
- CalfKaden EllissInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Kelvin Banks Jr.I.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Lorenzo StylesI.L. - Calf
- Lista PUPMason TiptonLeg - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Moliki MatavaoI.L. - Knee
- Lista PUPNick SaldiveriKnee - Physically Unable to Perform
- AbdomenNoah FantInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Rejzohn WrightI.L. - Hip
- I.L.Ty ChandlerI.L. - Knee
- SidelinedZach WilsonCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Zach WoodI.L. - Calf
Chicago Bears
- En dudaCam LewisHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaDontae ManningUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaGervarrius OwensUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaKenechukwu EziomumeUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaKyle MonangaiThumb - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaKyron HudsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaRicky StrombergUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaTy SummersFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
Bajas de larga duración (16)
- SidelinedAnthony Johnson Jr.Undisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Braxton JonesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Brittain BrownI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedCaleb WilliamsHamstring - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Coby BryantI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Dallis FlowersI.L. - Leg
- UndisclosedDrew DalmanRetired
- I.L.Hayden LargeI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jonathan GarvinI.L. - Undisclosed
- Lista PUPKyler GordonCalf - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Nephi SewellI.L. - Concussion
- I.L.Nikola KalinicI.L. - Knee
- Lista PUPNoah SewellAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Ruben Hyppolite III.L. - Shoulder
- Lista PUPShemar TurnerKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Tony Fields III.L. - Undisclosed
Los dos equipos
| Saints | Bears | |
|---|---|---|
| Balance | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| En casa | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Fuera | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Puntos por partido | 26,3 | 28 |
| Puntos encajados por partido | 32 | 16,3 |
| Racha | 2 derrotas | 2 victorias |
| Puesto en la división | 3.º en la NFC Sur | 2.º en la NFC Norte |
Cómo se calcula el pick
El modelo parte de la puntuación Elo de cada equipo y suma la ventaja de jugar en casa, el descanso y el estado del quarterback titular según el parte de lesiones. De la diferencia sale la probabilidad de victoria y el marcador estimado; el pick contra el spread compara esa diferencia con la línea del mercado.
El método y el historial de aciertos