Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans
Saturday, January 9, 7:00 PM. Reliant Stadium, Houston.
Titans
7:00 PM
Texans
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Tennessee Titans
- QuestionableDominique HamptonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Houston
- QuestionableJalyn Armour-DavisAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Houston
- QuestionableNazeeh JohnsonAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Houston
- QuestionableSean BrownUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Houston
- QuestionableShadrach BanksUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Houston
Long-term absences (9)
- I.L.Dorian MausiI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Fernando Carmona Jr.I.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Jackson SlaterI.L. - Foot
- I.L.Jaren KanakI.L. - Pectoral
- I.L.Jaylen HarrellI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Joshua WilliamsI.L. - Pectoral
- I.L.Kendell BrooksI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Milo EiflerI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Tanoh KpassagnonI.L. - Undisclosed
Houston Texans
- QuestionableAzeez Al-ShaairGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJaden CrumedyShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJaylin SmithHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJimmie WardFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableKurt HinishUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableKyonte HamiltonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
Long-term absences (16)
- I.L.Ali GayeI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Braden SmithI.L. - Foot
- I.L.British BrooksI.L. - Hamstring
- PersonalCasey ToohillRetired
- I.L.Dylan HortonI.L. - Achilles
- PUP listE.J. SpeedQuadriceps - Physically Unable to Perform
- I.L.Graham MertzI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jake HummelI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Jayden HigginsI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.K.C. OssaiI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Kayden McDonaldI.L. - Ankle
- PUP listM.J. StewartKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Nathaniel DellI.L. - Knee - ACL + MCL
- SidelinedNoah WhittingtonQuadriceps - Out for Week 5 at Tennessee. Expected Return - Week 9
- I.L.Sam HagenI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Solomon ByrdI.L. - Ankle
The two teams
| Titans | Texans | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Home | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Away | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Points per game | 13.8 | 21 |
| Points allowed per game | 20.8 | 27.3 |
| Streak | Lost 4 | Lost 4 |
| Division rank | 4th in the AFC South | 3rd in the AFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record