Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers
Saturday, January 9, 7:00 PM. Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte.
Falcons
7:00 PM
Panthers
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Atlanta Falcons
- QuestionableJake MatthewsGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableJamal AgnewUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableKevin KingUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableMalik VerdonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableTroy AndersenKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableTyrone Wheatley Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
Long-term absences (15)
- NFI listAnterio ThompsonUndisclosed - NFI-R for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- I.L.Beaux CollinsI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Cameron WilliamsI.L. - Ankle
- SidelinedCooper RushCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- PUP listDeAngelo MaloneUndisclosed - Physically Unable to Perform
- SidelinedEthan OnianwaCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedJack StrandCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.Jalon WalkerI.L. - Knee - ACL
- SidelinedJared IveyCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.JD BertrandI.L. - Undisclosed
- LegKaleb McGaryRetired
- SidelinedMalcom DeWalt IVCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedRobert LongerbeamCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- PUP listStorm NortonFoot - Physically Unable to Perform
- I.L.Trey SermonI.L. - Undisclosed
Carolina Panthers
- QuestionableAinias SmithUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableAmare BarnoKnee - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableCam'Ron JacksonKnee - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableClaudin CherelusShoulder - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableDamien LewisElbow - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableDan ChisenaUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableJaelan PhillipsHamstring - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableJalen CokerQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableJosey JewellConcussion - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableMonroe FreelingKnee - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableRyan HayesUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableTyler MabryUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
Long-term absences (14)
- I.L.Bam MartinScottI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Brady ChristensenI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Chris Brazzell III.L. - Knee
- PUP listIkem EkwonuKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 9
- I.L.Jaycee HornI.L. - Quadriceps
- I.L.Jonathon BrooksI.L. - Abdomen
- PersonalLaBryan RayRetired
- I.L.Mike JacksonI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Nic CarawayI.L. - Knee - ACL
- NFI listTaylor MotonIllness - NFI-R for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- PUP listTershawn WhartonNeck - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Trevor EtienneI.L. - Ankle
- PersonalWill GrierRetired
- I.L.Xavier LegetteI.L. - Knee
The two teams
| Falcons | Panthers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Home | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Away | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 24 | 30.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 23 | 27.3 |
| Streak | Won 2 | Won 1 |
| Division rank | 2nd in the NFC South | 1st in the NFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record