Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints
Saturday, January 9, 7:00 PM. Caesars Superdome, New Orleans.
Buccaneers
7:00 PM
Saints
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- QuestionableBenjamin MorrisonQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableChase LucasUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDamarion WilliamsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDennis HoustonGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDeshawn McKnightHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableJosiah TrotterKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKadarius CallowayUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKemon HallUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKo KieftElbow - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableMarcus BanksUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableSirVocea DennisAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableXavier WilliamsHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
Long-term absences (5)
- SidelinedAntoine Winfield Jr.Ribs - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 6
- SidelinedBaker MayfieldThumb - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 7
- I.L.Jalen McMillanI.L. - Knee - PCL
- I.L.Josh HayesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Mohamed KamaraI.L. - Knee
New Orleans Saints
- QuestionableBarry WesleyUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- QuestionableDalys BeanumUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- QuestionableDamien AlfordUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- QuestionableDavon GodchauxGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- QuestionableKeeshawn SilverUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
Long-term absences (20)
- KneeAnfernee JenningsInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Bryan BreseeI.L. - Knee - ACL
- AnkleCarl GrandersonInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- SidelinedChristen MillerCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- SidelinedDecamerion RichardsonCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- UndisclosedDerek CarrRetired
- I.L.Dillon RadunzI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jaylan FordI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jordyn TysonI.L. - Hamstring
- CalfKaden EllissInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Kelvin Banks Jr.I.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Lorenzo StylesI.L. - Calf
- PUP listMason TiptonLeg - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Moliki MatavaoI.L. - Knee
- PUP listNick SaldiveriKnee - Physically Unable to Perform
- AbdomenNoah FantInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Rejzohn WrightI.L. - Hip
- I.L.Ty ChandlerI.L. - Knee
- SidelinedZach WilsonCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Zach WoodI.L. - Calf
The two teams
| Buccaneers | Saints | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Home | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Away | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 19 | 26.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 24 | 32 |
| Streak | Lost 4 | Lost 2 |
| Division rank | 4th in the NFC South | 3rd in the NFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record