All Week 18 games

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings

Saturday, January 9, 7:00 PM. U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis.

Bears
7:00 PM
Vikings

The model's pick

The pick is published during game week.

Keys

Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.

Starting quarterbacks

No starting quarterback data.

Injury report

Chicago Bears

  • QuestionableCam LewisHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
  • QuestionableDontae ManningUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
  • QuestionableGervarrius OwensUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
  • QuestionableKenechukwu EziomumeUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
  • QuestionableKyle MonangaiThumb - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
  • QuestionableKyron HudsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
  • QuestionableRicky StrombergUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
  • QuestionableTy SummersFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
Long-term absences (16)
  • SidelinedAnthony Johnson Jr.Undisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
  • I.L.Braxton JonesI.L. - Knee
  • I.L.Brittain BrownI.L. - Undisclosed
  • SidelinedCaleb WilliamsHamstring - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
  • I.L.Coby BryantI.L. - Knee
  • I.L.Dallis FlowersI.L. - Leg
  • UndisclosedDrew DalmanRetired
  • I.L.Hayden LargeI.L. - Undisclosed
  • I.L.Jonathan GarvinI.L. - Undisclosed
  • PUP listKyler GordonCalf - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
  • I.L.Nephi SewellI.L. - Concussion
  • I.L.Nikola KalinicI.L. - Knee
  • PUP listNoah SewellAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
  • I.L.Ruben Hyppolite III.L. - Shoulder
  • PUP listShemar TurnerKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
  • I.L.Tony Fields III.L. - Undisclosed

Minnesota Vikings

  • QuestionableBrett ThorsonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableCharles DemmingsHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableChristian DarrisawConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableJaylon HutchingsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableJeff OkudahConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableJermar JeffersonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableJustin JeffersonAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableKejon OwensIllness - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableLuke WysongUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableMarcus AllenUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableMatt NelsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableTaki TaimaniUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
Long-term absences (10)
  • I.L.Benjamin YurosekI.L. - Undisclosed
  • UndisclosedC.J. HamRetired
  • SidelinedDonovan JacksonKnee - Meniscus - Out for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • I.L.Jamal AdamsI.L. - Quadriceps
  • I.L.Jordan MasonI.L. - Thumb
  • I.L.Josh OliverI.L. - Biceps
  • I.L.Michael JurgensI.L. - Undisclosed
  • I.L.Nick SamacI.L. - Knee
  • I.L.Tyler BattyI.L. - Knee - ACL
  • I.L.Tyreek ChappellI.L. - Undisclosed

The two teams

BearsVikings
Record3-14-0
Home2-12-0
Away1-02-0
Points per game2821.5
Points allowed per game16.312.8
StreakWon 2Won 4
Division rank2nd in the NFC North1st in the NFC North

How the pick is made

The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.

Method and track record