Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers
Saturday, January 9, 7:00 PM. Lambeau Field, Green Bay.
Lions
7:00 PM
Packers
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Detroit Lions
- QuestionableAidan KeanaainaUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableBen BartchFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableCedrick Wilson Jr.Knee - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableDicaprio BootleUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableEmmanuel MoseleyIllness - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableJamarco JonesAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableKye RobichauxFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableLoren StricklandUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableLuke DealUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableMichael NieseLeg - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableRaheem BlackshearUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableRock Ya-SinHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableZach CunninghamHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
Long-term absences (12)
- I.L.Avonte MaddoxI.L. - Foot
- PUP listBrian BranchAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Cade MaysI.L. - Wrist
- I.L.Damone ClarkI.L. - Undisclosed
- NFI listGiovanni ManuKnee - NFI-R for Week 5 at Arizona
- I.L.Isiah PachecoI.L. - Back
- I.L.Kendrick LawI.L. - Knee - ACL
- PUP listKerby JosephKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedMason MillerUndisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Arizona. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Payton TurnerI.L. - Back
- UndisclosedTeddy BridgewaterRetired
- I.L.Thomas HarperI.L. - Ankle
Green Bay Packers
- QuestionableAaron BanksToe - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableAnthony CampbellAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableBrandon CisseNeck - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableIsaiah DunnUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableJacob MonkQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableLuke LacheyFoot - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableMarlon Jones Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionablePierre Strong Jr.Hamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableRJ MarylandHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableTrey Dean IIIUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
Long-term absences (10)
- I.L.Collin OliverI.L. - Achilles
- SidelinedEdgerrin CooperAchilles - Out for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- I.L.Jayden ReedI.L. - Neck
- PUP listJordon RileyAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- PUP listLuke MusgraveNeck - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- PUP listMicah ParsonsKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Savion WilliamsI.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Thomas YassminI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Warren BrinsonI.L. - Calf
- I.L.Zach TomI.L. - Knee
The two teams
| Lions | Packers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Home | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Away | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Points per game | 29.8 | 18.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 31.8 | 26.3 |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Won 1 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the NFC North | 4th in the NFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record