Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos
Saturday, January 9, 7:00 PM. Empower Field at Mile High, Denver.
Chargers
7:00 PM
Broncos
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Los Angeles Chargers
- QuestionableBrenen ThompsonQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableCharlie KolarForearm - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableDalevon CampbellLeg - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableDalvin TomlinsonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableDez FitzpatrickUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableDonte JacksonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableJoe AltNeck - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableKayode AwosikaLower Leg - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableKyle KennardUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableLadd McConkeyFoot - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableLuke GrimmUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableSincere BrownUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableTrevor PenningConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableWill DisslyUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
Long-term absences (10)
- UndisclosedBradley BozemanRetired
- I.L.Branson TaylorI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.David NjokuI.L. - Lower Leg
- I.L.Denzel PerrymanI.L. - Undisclosed
- NFI listIsaiah WorldKnee - NFI-R for Week 5 vs. Denver
- I.L.KeAndre LambertSmithI.L. - Hamstring
- UndisclosedMike WilliamsRoster Exemption
- SidelinedRashawn SlaterAnkle - Out for Week 5 vs. Denver. Expected Return - Week 8
- I.L.Scott MatlockI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Tyler BiadaszI.L. - Knee
Denver Broncos
- QuestionableBlake CottonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableDondrea TillmanHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableDrew SandersUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableMichael Woods IILeg - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Chargers
- QuestionablePat BryantAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableRiley MossRibs - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Chargers
Long-term absences (7)
- I.L.Caleb LohnerI.L. - Lower Body
- I.L.Frank CrumI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jonah ColemanI.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Levelle BaileyI.L. - Leg
- I.L.Matt HenningsenI.L. - Achilles
- I.L.Michael DeiterI.L. - Quadriceps
- PUP listNick GargiuloKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
The two teams
| Chargers | Broncos | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Home | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Away | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Points per game | 16.8 | 18.5 |
| Points allowed per game | 26.5 | 23.5 |
| Streak | Lost 4 | Lost 1 |
| Division rank | 4th in the AFC West | 3rd in the AFC West |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record