Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans
Sunday, January 3, 1:00 PM. Nissan Stadium, Nashville.
Steelers
1:00 PM
Titans
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Pittsburgh Steelers
- QuestionableIsrael MukuamuUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableJacob SladeUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableJamel DeanAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableLorenzo ThompsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableMontana LemoniousCraigLower Body - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
Long-term absences (17)
- UndisclosedAdam ThielenRetired
- I.L.Cole BurgessI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Daequan HardyI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Derrick HarmonI.L. - Foot
- I.L.DeShon ElliottI.L. - Undisclosed
- PUP listDonte KentUndisclosed - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedDrew AllarCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- SidelinedEli HeidenreichCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- SidelinedGabriel RubioCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- I.L.Gennings DunkerI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Jack DriscollI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedKevin Jobity Jr.Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- I.L.Logan LeeI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedMax HurlemanUndisclosed - Out for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis. Expected Return - Week 6
- ToeRico DowdleInactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- UndisclosedRobert WoodsRetired
- SidelinedWill HowardCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
Tennessee Titans
- QuestionableDominique HamptonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Houston
- QuestionableJalyn Armour-DavisAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Houston
- QuestionableNazeeh JohnsonAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Houston
- QuestionableSean BrownUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Houston
- QuestionableShadrach BanksUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Houston
Long-term absences (9)
- I.L.Dorian MausiI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Fernando Carmona Jr.I.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Jackson SlaterI.L. - Foot
- I.L.Jaren KanakI.L. - Pectoral
- I.L.Jaylen HarrellI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Joshua WilliamsI.L. - Pectoral
- I.L.Kendell BrooksI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Milo EiflerI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Tanoh KpassagnonI.L. - Undisclosed
The two teams
| Steelers | Titans | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Home | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Away | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Points per game | 19.3 | 13.8 |
| Points allowed per game | 21.8 | 20.8 |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Lost 4 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the AFC North | 4th in the AFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record