Jacksonville Jaguars at Dallas Cowboys
Sunday, December 27, 8:20 PM. AT&T Stadium, Arlington.
Jaguars
8:20 PM
Cowboys
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Jacksonville Jaguars
Nobody on the report.
Dallas Cowboys
- QuestionableDeMarvion OvershownHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay
- QuestionableDrew SheltonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay
Long-term absences (11)
- I.L.D'Andre RogersI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Devin MooreI.L. - Hip
- I.L.Jalen ThompsonI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Jonathan BullardI.L. - Calf
- I.L.Kelvin GilliamI.L. - Triceps
- I.L.Malik DavisI.L. - Hip
- I.L.Marist LiufauI.L. - Forearm
- I.L.Matt HennessyI.L. - Neck
- I.L.P.J. LockeI.L. - Foot
- I.L.Princeton FantI.L. - Knee - ACL + MCL
- I.L.Tyler SmithI.L. - Thumb
The two teams
| Jaguars | Cowboys | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Home | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Away | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 26 | 30.5 |
| Points allowed per game | 13.3 | 28 |
| Streak | Won 2 | Won 1 |
| Division rank | 1st in the AFC South | 3rd in the NFC East |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record