San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, December 27, 4:25 PM. Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City.
49ers
4:25 PM
Chiefs
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
San Francisco 49ers
- QuestionableIsaiah PrinceKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Seattle
- QuestionableJames Thompson Jr.Ankle - Questionable for Week 5 at Seattle
- QuestionableKyle JuszczykKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Seattle
- QuestionableMarques SigleAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Seattle
- QuestionableNick BosaCalf - Questionable for Week 5 at Seattle
Long-term absences (16)
- I.L.Alfred CollinsI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Austen PleasantsI.L. - Knee
- PersonalBrandon AiyukDid Not Report
- I.L.Brett TothI.L. - Concussion
- I.L.Christian KirkI.L. - Calf
- I.L.Darrick ForrestI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Demarcus RobinsonI.L. - Ankle
- PUP listIsaac GuerendoPectoral - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Jake TongesI.L. - Knee - MCL
- I.L.Mikail KamaraI.L. - Knee
- PUP listMykel WilliamsKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Nate HobbsI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Nick ZakeljI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Nickolas MartinI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Ricky PearsallI.L. - Knee - PCL
- I.L.Sam OkuayinonuI.L. - Foot
Kansas City Chiefs
- QuestionableC.J. HansonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableChris OladokunUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableDeon BushAchilles - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableE.J. SmithUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableJosh SimmonsBack - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableRashee RiceHamstring - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
Long-term absences (8)
- I.L.Cooper McDonaldI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Ethan DownsI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jeff CaldwellI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Jimmy HolidayI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.John Michael GyllenborgI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Matt WaletzkoI.L. - Undisclosed
- PUP listOmarr NormanLottKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6
- SidelinedTyquan ThorntonAnkle - Out for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
The two teams
| 49ers | Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 4-0 |
| Home | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Away | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Points per game | 30.5 | 29.5 |
| Points allowed per game | 16 | 19.3 |
| Streak | Won 4 | Won 4 |
| Division rank | 1st in the NFC West | 1st in the AFC West |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record