Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers
Saturday, December 26, 7:00 PM. Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh.
Panthers
7:00 PM
Steelers
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Carolina Panthers
- QuestionableAinias SmithUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableAmare BarnoKnee - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableCam'Ron JacksonKnee - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableClaudin CherelusShoulder - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableDamien LewisElbow - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableDan ChisenaUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableJaelan PhillipsHamstring - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableJalen CokerQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableJosey JewellConcussion - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableMonroe FreelingKnee - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableRyan HayesUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableTyler MabryUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
Long-term absences (14)
- I.L.Bam MartinScottI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Brady ChristensenI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Chris Brazzell III.L. - Knee
- PUP listIkem EkwonuKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 9
- I.L.Jaycee HornI.L. - Quadriceps
- I.L.Jonathon BrooksI.L. - Abdomen
- PersonalLaBryan RayRetired
- I.L.Mike JacksonI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Nic CarawayI.L. - Knee - ACL
- NFI listTaylor MotonIllness - NFI-R for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- PUP listTershawn WhartonNeck - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Trevor EtienneI.L. - Ankle
- PersonalWill GrierRetired
- I.L.Xavier LegetteI.L. - Knee
Pittsburgh Steelers
- QuestionableIsrael MukuamuUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableJacob SladeUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableJamel DeanAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableLorenzo ThompsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableMontana LemoniousCraigLower Body - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
Long-term absences (17)
- UndisclosedAdam ThielenRetired
- I.L.Cole BurgessI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Daequan HardyI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Derrick HarmonI.L. - Foot
- I.L.DeShon ElliottI.L. - Undisclosed
- PUP listDonte KentUndisclosed - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedDrew AllarCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- SidelinedEli HeidenreichCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- SidelinedGabriel RubioCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- I.L.Gennings DunkerI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Jack DriscollI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedKevin Jobity Jr.Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- I.L.Logan LeeI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedMax HurlemanUndisclosed - Out for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis. Expected Return - Week 6
- ToeRico DowdleInactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- UndisclosedRobert WoodsRetired
- SidelinedWill HowardCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
The two teams
| Panthers | Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Home | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Away | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Points per game | 30.3 | 19.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 27.3 | 21.8 |
| Streak | Won 1 | Lost 1 |
| Division rank | 1st in the NFC South | 3rd in the AFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record