Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles
Thursday, December 24, 8:15 PM. Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia.
Texans
8:15 PM
Eagles
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Houston Texans
- QuestionableAzeez Al-ShaairGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJaden CrumedyShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJaylin SmithHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJimmie WardFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableKurt HinishUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableKyonte HamiltonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
Long-term absences (16)
- I.L.Ali GayeI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Braden SmithI.L. - Foot
- I.L.British BrooksI.L. - Hamstring
- PersonalCasey ToohillRetired
- I.L.Dylan HortonI.L. - Achilles
- PUP listE.J. SpeedQuadriceps - Physically Unable to Perform
- I.L.Graham MertzI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jake HummelI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Jayden HigginsI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.K.C. OssaiI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Kayden McDonaldI.L. - Ankle
- PUP listM.J. StewartKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Nathaniel DellI.L. - Knee - ACL + MCL
- SidelinedNoah WhittingtonQuadriceps - Out for Week 5 at Tennessee. Expected Return - Week 9
- I.L.Sam HagenI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Solomon ByrdI.L. - Ankle
Philadelphia Eagles
- QuestionableCam JurgensConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableDallas GoedertKnee - MCL - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableDanny GrayUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableDeVonta SmithHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableElijah MitchellUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableFred JohnsonKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableJonathan GreenardAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableLane JohnsonPersonal - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableMarcus EppsGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableQuinyon MitchellKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableSaquon BarkleyHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableTariq Castro-FieldsHeel - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableZack BaunConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
Long-term absences (8)
- SidelinedChance CampbellUndisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Jacksonville. Expected Return - Week 8
- I.L.Eli StowersI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Grant CalcaterraI.L. - Back
- I.L.Jakorian BennettI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Johnny WilsonI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Landon DickersonI.L. - Knee
- SidelinedTank BigsbyAbdomen - Out for Week 5 at Jacksonville. Expected Return - Week 9
- NFI listTucker LargeUndisclosed - NFI-R for Week 5 at Jacksonville
The two teams
| Texans | Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Home | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Away | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 21 | 18.8 |
| Points allowed per game | 27.3 | 23.3 |
| Streak | Lost 4 | Lost 2 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the AFC South | 2nd in the NFC East |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record