Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, December 20, 8:20 PM. U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis.
Lions
8:20 PM
Vikings
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Detroit Lions
- QuestionableAidan KeanaainaUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableBen BartchFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableCedrick Wilson Jr.Knee - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableDicaprio BootleUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableEmmanuel MoseleyIllness - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableJamarco JonesAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableKye RobichauxFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableLoren StricklandUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableLuke DealUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableMichael NieseLeg - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableRaheem BlackshearUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableRock Ya-SinHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableZach CunninghamHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
Long-term absences (12)
- I.L.Avonte MaddoxI.L. - Foot
- PUP listBrian BranchAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Cade MaysI.L. - Wrist
- I.L.Damone ClarkI.L. - Undisclosed
- NFI listGiovanni ManuKnee - NFI-R for Week 5 at Arizona
- I.L.Isiah PachecoI.L. - Back
- I.L.Kendrick LawI.L. - Knee - ACL
- PUP listKerby JosephKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedMason MillerUndisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Arizona. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Payton TurnerI.L. - Back
- UndisclosedTeddy BridgewaterRetired
- I.L.Thomas HarperI.L. - Ankle
Minnesota Vikings
- QuestionableBrett ThorsonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableCharles DemmingsHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableChristian DarrisawConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJaylon HutchingsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJeff OkudahConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJermar JeffersonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJustin JeffersonAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableKejon OwensIllness - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableLuke WysongUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableMarcus AllenUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableMatt NelsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableTaki TaimaniUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
Long-term absences (10)
- I.L.Benjamin YurosekI.L. - Undisclosed
- UndisclosedC.J. HamRetired
- SidelinedDonovan JacksonKnee - Meniscus - Out for Week 5 at New Orleans
- I.L.Jamal AdamsI.L. - Quadriceps
- I.L.Jordan MasonI.L. - Thumb
- I.L.Josh OliverI.L. - Biceps
- I.L.Michael JurgensI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Nick SamacI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Tyler BattyI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Tyreek ChappellI.L. - Undisclosed
The two teams
| Lions | Vikings | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 4-0 |
| Home | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Away | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Points per game | 29.8 | 21.5 |
| Points allowed per game | 31.8 | 12.8 |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Won 4 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the NFC North | 1st in the NFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record