Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders
Sunday, December 20, 1:00 PM. Northwest Stadium, Landover.
Falcons
1:00 PM
Commanders
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Atlanta Falcons
- QuestionableJake MatthewsGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableJamal AgnewUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableKevin KingUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableMalik VerdonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableTroy AndersenKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableTyrone Wheatley Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
Long-term absences (15)
- NFI listAnterio ThompsonUndisclosed - NFI-R for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- I.L.Beaux CollinsI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Cameron WilliamsI.L. - Ankle
- SidelinedCooper RushCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- PUP listDeAngelo MaloneUndisclosed - Physically Unable to Perform
- SidelinedEthan OnianwaCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedJack StrandCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.Jalon WalkerI.L. - Knee - ACL
- SidelinedJared IveyCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.JD BertrandI.L. - Undisclosed
- LegKaleb McGaryRetired
- SidelinedMalcom DeWalt IVCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedRobert LongerbeamCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- PUP listStorm NortonFoot - Physically Unable to Perform
- I.L.Trey SermonI.L. - Undisclosed
Washington Commanders
- QuestionableCharles OmenihuGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableCurtis JacobsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableJacoby JonesUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableJayden DanielsElbow - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableJeremy ReavesFinger - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableLogan ThomasKnee
- QuestionableMarcus MariotaKnee - MCL - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableMarvin Jones Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableNick CrossIllness - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableQuentin MooreUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableRachaad WhiteShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableRiver CracraftUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableTerry McLaurinHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableTyler CooperUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableTyler OwensHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
Long-term absences (10)
- PersonalAhkello WitherspoonRetired
- SidelinedChase YoungKnee
- PUP listDeatrich Wise Jr.Quadriceps - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedJaylin LaneAnkle - Out for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- I.L.Jeremy McNicholsI.L. - Quadriceps
- I.L.Jordan MageeI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Laremy TunsilI.L. - Triceps
- I.L.Leo ChenalI.L. - Neck
- PersonalNick BelloreRetired
- I.L.Trey AmosI.L. - Ankle
The two teams
| Falcons | Commanders | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Home | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Away | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Points per game | 24 | 22 |
| Points allowed per game | 23 | 30.5 |
| Streak | Won 2 | Lost 1 |
| Division rank | 2nd in the NFC South | 4th in the NFC East |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record