Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday, December 20, 1:00 PM. Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh.
Ravens
1:00 PM
Steelers
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Baltimore Ravens
- QuestionableAndrew VorheesFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableChris MooreAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableDeonte HartyKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableDurham SmytheAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableLamar JacksonAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableMarlon HumphreyCalf - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableReid WillifordUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableRonnie StanleyToe - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableTrey HendricksonFinger - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
Long-term absences (8)
- I.L.Adam RandallI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Bilhal KoneI.L. - Lower Body
- I.L.Danny PinterI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Ethan PocicI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Jahquez RobinsonI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jovaughn GwynI.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Skylar ThompsonI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.T.J. TampaI.L. - Knee
Pittsburgh Steelers
- QuestionableIsrael MukuamuUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableJacob SladeUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableJamel DeanAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableLorenzo ThompsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableMontana LemoniousCraigLower Body - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
Long-term absences (17)
- UndisclosedAdam ThielenRetired
- I.L.Cole BurgessI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Daequan HardyI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Derrick HarmonI.L. - Foot
- I.L.DeShon ElliottI.L. - Undisclosed
- PUP listDonte KentUndisclosed - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedDrew AllarCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- SidelinedEli HeidenreichCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- SidelinedGabriel RubioCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- I.L.Gennings DunkerI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Jack DriscollI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedKevin Jobity Jr.Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- I.L.Logan LeeI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedMax HurlemanUndisclosed - Out for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis. Expected Return - Week 6
- ToeRico DowdleInactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- UndisclosedRobert WoodsRetired
- SidelinedWill HowardCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
The two teams
| Ravens | Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Home | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Away | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Points per game | 29 | 19.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 24 | 21.8 |
| Streak | Won 2 | Lost 1 |
| Division rank | 2nd in the AFC North | 3rd in the AFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record