Chicago Bears at Buffalo Bills
Saturday, December 19, 8:20 PM. Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park.
Bears
8:20 PM
Bills
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Chicago Bears
- QuestionableCam LewisHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableDontae ManningUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableGervarrius OwensUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableKenechukwu EziomumeUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableKyle MonangaiThumb - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableKyron HudsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableRicky StrombergUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableTy SummersFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
Long-term absences (16)
- SidelinedAnthony Johnson Jr.Undisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Braxton JonesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Brittain BrownI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedCaleb WilliamsHamstring - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Coby BryantI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Dallis FlowersI.L. - Leg
- UndisclosedDrew DalmanRetired
- I.L.Hayden LargeI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jonathan GarvinI.L. - Undisclosed
- PUP listKyler GordonCalf - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Nephi SewellI.L. - Concussion
- I.L.Nikola KalinicI.L. - Knee
- PUP listNoah SewellAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Ruben Hyppolite III.L. - Shoulder
- PUP listShemar TurnerKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Tony Fields III.L. - Undisclosed
Buffalo Bills
- QuestionableChristian BenfordToe - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableDee AlfordAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableDemetrius Flannigan-FowlesUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableDJ MooreShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableEd OliverKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableGrant DuBoseShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableJalen VirgilUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableJordan PhillipsAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableJordan PoyerHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableT.J. SandersAppendix - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
Long-term absences (4)
- NFI listDorian StrongNeck - NFI-R for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- I.L.Jordan HancockI.L. - Hamstring
- PUP listTyrell ShaversKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Zane DurantI.L. - Undisclosed
The two teams
| Bears | Bills | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Home | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Away | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Points per game | 28 | 31.8 |
| Points allowed per game | 16.3 | 26.8 |
| Streak | Won 2 | Lost 1 |
| Division rank | 2nd in the NFC North | 1st in the AFC East |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record