Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Baltimore Ravens
Sunday, December 13, 1:00 PM. M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore.
Buccaneers
1:00 PM
Ravens
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- QuestionableBenjamin MorrisonQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableChase LucasUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDamarion WilliamsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDennis HoustonGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDeshawn McKnightHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableJosiah TrotterKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKadarius CallowayUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKemon HallUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKo KieftElbow - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableMarcus BanksUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableSirVocea DennisAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableXavier WilliamsHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
Long-term absences (5)
- SidelinedAntoine Winfield Jr.Ribs - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 6
- SidelinedBaker MayfieldThumb - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 7
- I.L.Jalen McMillanI.L. - Knee - PCL
- I.L.Josh HayesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Mohamed KamaraI.L. - Knee
Baltimore Ravens
- QuestionableAndrew VorheesFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableChris MooreAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableDeonte HartyKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableDurham SmytheAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableLamar JacksonAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableMarlon HumphreyCalf - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableReid WillifordUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableRonnie StanleyToe - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableTrey HendricksonFinger - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
Long-term absences (8)
- I.L.Adam RandallI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Bilhal KoneI.L. - Lower Body
- I.L.Danny PinterI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Ethan PocicI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Jahquez RobinsonI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jovaughn GwynI.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Skylar ThompsonI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.T.J. TampaI.L. - Knee
The two teams
| Buccaneers | Ravens | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Home | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Away | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Points per game | 19 | 29 |
| Points allowed per game | 24 | 24 |
| Streak | Lost 4 | Won 2 |
| Division rank | 4th in the NFC South | 2nd in the AFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record