Houston Texans at Washington Commanders
Sunday, December 13, 1:00 PM. Northwest Stadium, Landover.
Texans
1:00 PM
Commanders
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Houston Texans
- QuestionableAzeez Al-ShaairGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJaden CrumedyShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJaylin SmithHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJimmie WardFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableKurt HinishUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableKyonte HamiltonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
Long-term absences (16)
- I.L.Ali GayeI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Braden SmithI.L. - Foot
- I.L.British BrooksI.L. - Hamstring
- PersonalCasey ToohillRetired
- I.L.Dylan HortonI.L. - Achilles
- PUP listE.J. SpeedQuadriceps - Physically Unable to Perform
- I.L.Graham MertzI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jake HummelI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Jayden HigginsI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.K.C. OssaiI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Kayden McDonaldI.L. - Ankle
- PUP listM.J. StewartKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Nathaniel DellI.L. - Knee - ACL + MCL
- SidelinedNoah WhittingtonQuadriceps - Out for Week 5 at Tennessee. Expected Return - Week 9
- I.L.Sam HagenI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Solomon ByrdI.L. - Ankle
Washington Commanders
- QuestionableCharles OmenihuGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableCurtis JacobsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableJacoby JonesUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableJayden DanielsElbow - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableJeremy ReavesFinger - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableLogan ThomasKnee
- QuestionableMarcus MariotaKnee - MCL - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableMarvin Jones Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableNick CrossIllness - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableQuentin MooreUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableRachaad WhiteShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableRiver CracraftUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableTerry McLaurinHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableTyler CooperUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableTyler OwensHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
Long-term absences (10)
- PersonalAhkello WitherspoonRetired
- SidelinedChase YoungKnee
- PUP listDeatrich Wise Jr.Quadriceps - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedJaylin LaneAnkle - Out for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- I.L.Jeremy McNicholsI.L. - Quadriceps
- I.L.Jordan MageeI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Laremy TunsilI.L. - Triceps
- I.L.Leo ChenalI.L. - Neck
- PersonalNick BelloreRetired
- I.L.Trey AmosI.L. - Ankle
The two teams
| Texans | Commanders | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Home | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Away | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Points per game | 21 | 22 |
| Points allowed per game | 27.3 | 30.5 |
| Streak | Lost 4 | Lost 1 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the AFC South | 4th in the NFC East |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record