Denver Broncos at New York Jets
Sunday, December 13, 1:00 PM. MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford.
Broncos
1:00 PM
Jets
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Denver Broncos
- QuestionableBlake CottonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableDondrea TillmanHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableDrew SandersUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableMichael Woods IILeg - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Chargers
- QuestionablePat BryantAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableRiley MossRibs - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Chargers
Long-term absences (7)
- I.L.Caleb LohnerI.L. - Lower Body
- I.L.Frank CrumI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jonah ColemanI.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Levelle BaileyI.L. - Leg
- I.L.Matt HenningsenI.L. - Achilles
- I.L.Michael DeiterI.L. - Quadriceps
- PUP listNick GargiuloKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
New York Jets
- QuestionableAdonai MitchellFinger - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableBreece HallQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableCaullin LacyUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableChase CurtisKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableConnor HulsteinUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableDominic RichardsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableDT SheffieldUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableDylan ParhamKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableGee Scott Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableJarvis BrownleeConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableKeilan RobinsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableKingsley EnagbareKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableMason TaylorThumb - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
Long-term absences (12)
- I.L.Anez CooperI.L. - Shoulder
- I.L.Arian SmithI.L. - Knee - ACL
- SidelinedBraiden McGregorPectoral - Out for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- I.L.Chip TrayanumI.L. - Neck
- I.L.David OnyemataI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Kingsley JonathanI.L. - Thigh
- I.L.Marcelino McCrary-BallI.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Omar Cooper Jr.I.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Tim PatrickI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Tre BrownI.L. - Finger
- PUP listTyler BaronKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.VJ PayneI.L. - Undisclosed
The two teams
| Broncos | Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Home | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Away | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Points per game | 18.5 | 19 |
| Points allowed per game | 23.5 | 21 |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Lost 3 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the AFC West | 3rd in the AFC East |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record