Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday, November 30, 8:15 PM. Raymond James Stadium, Tampa.
Panthers
8:15 PM
Buccaneers
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Carolina Panthers
- QuestionableAinias SmithUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableAmare BarnoKnee - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableCam'Ron JacksonKnee - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableClaudin CherelusShoulder - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableDamien LewisElbow - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableDan ChisenaUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableJaelan PhillipsHamstring - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableJalen CokerQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableJosey JewellConcussion - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableMonroe FreelingKnee - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableRyan HayesUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableTyler MabryUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
Long-term absences (14)
- I.L.Bam MartinScottI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Brady ChristensenI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Chris Brazzell III.L. - Knee
- PUP listIkem EkwonuKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 9
- I.L.Jaycee HornI.L. - Quadriceps
- I.L.Jonathon BrooksI.L. - Abdomen
- PersonalLaBryan RayRetired
- I.L.Mike JacksonI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Nic CarawayI.L. - Knee - ACL
- NFI listTaylor MotonIllness - NFI-R for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- PUP listTershawn WhartonNeck - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Trevor EtienneI.L. - Ankle
- PersonalWill GrierRetired
- I.L.Xavier LegetteI.L. - Knee
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- QuestionableBenjamin MorrisonQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableChase LucasUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDamarion WilliamsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDennis HoustonGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDeshawn McKnightHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableJosiah TrotterKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKadarius CallowayUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKemon HallUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKo KieftElbow - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableMarcus BanksUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableSirVocea DennisAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableXavier WilliamsHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
Long-term absences (5)
- SidelinedAntoine Winfield Jr.Ribs - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 6
- SidelinedBaker MayfieldThumb - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 7
- I.L.Jalen McMillanI.L. - Knee - PCL
- I.L.Josh HayesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Mohamed KamaraI.L. - Knee
The two teams
| Panthers | Buccaneers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Home | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Away | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Points per game | 30.3 | 19 |
| Points allowed per game | 27.3 | 24 |
| Streak | Won 1 | Lost 4 |
| Division rank | 1st in the NFC South | 4th in the NFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record