All Week 12 games

New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers

Sunday, November 29, 8:20 PM. SoFi Stadium, Inglewood.

Patriots
8:20 PM
Chargers

The model's pick

The pick is published during game week.

Keys

Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.

Starting quarterbacks

No starting quarterback data.

Injury report

New England Patriots

Nobody on the report.

Los Angeles Chargers

  • QuestionableBrenen ThompsonQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
  • QuestionableCharlie KolarForearm - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
  • QuestionableDalevon CampbellLeg - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
  • QuestionableDalvin TomlinsonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
  • QuestionableDez FitzpatrickUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
  • QuestionableDonte JacksonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
  • QuestionableJoe AltNeck - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
  • QuestionableKayode AwosikaLower Leg - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
  • QuestionableKyle KennardUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
  • QuestionableLadd McConkeyFoot - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
  • QuestionableLuke GrimmUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
  • QuestionableSincere BrownUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
  • QuestionableTrevor PenningConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
  • QuestionableWill DisslyUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
Long-term absences (10)
  • UndisclosedBradley BozemanRetired
  • I.L.Branson TaylorI.L. - Undisclosed
  • I.L.David NjokuI.L. - Lower Leg
  • I.L.Denzel PerrymanI.L. - Undisclosed
  • NFI listIsaiah WorldKnee - NFI-R for Week 5 vs. Denver
  • I.L.KeAndre LambertSmithI.L. - Hamstring
  • UndisclosedMike WilliamsRoster Exemption
  • SidelinedRashawn SlaterAnkle - Out for Week 5 vs. Denver. Expected Return - Week 8
  • I.L.Scott MatlockI.L. - Undisclosed
  • I.L.Tyler BiadaszI.L. - Knee

The two teams

PatriotsChargers
Record2-20-4
Home1-00-2
Away1-20-2
Points per game16.316.8
Points allowed per game19.326.5
StreakWon 1Lost 4
Division rank2nd in the AFC East4th in the AFC West

How the pick is made

The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.

Method and track record