Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans
Sunday, November 29, 1:00 PM. Reliant Stadium, Houston.
Ravens
1:00 PM
Texans
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Baltimore Ravens
- QuestionableAndrew VorheesFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableChris MooreAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableDeonte HartyKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableDurham SmytheAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableLamar JacksonAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableMarlon HumphreyCalf - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableReid WillifordUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableRonnie StanleyToe - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
- QuestionableTrey HendricksonFinger - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
Long-term absences (8)
- I.L.Adam RandallI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Bilhal KoneI.L. - Lower Body
- I.L.Danny PinterI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Ethan PocicI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Jahquez RobinsonI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jovaughn GwynI.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Skylar ThompsonI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.T.J. TampaI.L. - Knee
Houston Texans
- QuestionableAzeez Al-ShaairGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJaden CrumedyShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJaylin SmithHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJimmie WardFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableKurt HinishUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableKyonte HamiltonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
Long-term absences (16)
- I.L.Ali GayeI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Braden SmithI.L. - Foot
- I.L.British BrooksI.L. - Hamstring
- PersonalCasey ToohillRetired
- I.L.Dylan HortonI.L. - Achilles
- PUP listE.J. SpeedQuadriceps - Physically Unable to Perform
- I.L.Graham MertzI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jake HummelI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Jayden HigginsI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.K.C. OssaiI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Kayden McDonaldI.L. - Ankle
- PUP listM.J. StewartKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Nathaniel DellI.L. - Knee - ACL + MCL
- SidelinedNoah WhittingtonQuadriceps - Out for Week 5 at Tennessee. Expected Return - Week 9
- I.L.Sam HagenI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Solomon ByrdI.L. - Ankle
The two teams
| Ravens | Texans | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Home | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Away | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Points per game | 29 | 21 |
| Points allowed per game | 24 | 27.3 |
| Streak | Won 2 | Lost 4 |
| Division rank | 2nd in the AFC North | 3rd in the AFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record