Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions
Sunday, November 22, 1:00 PM. Ford Field, Detroit.
Buccaneers
1:00 PM
Lions
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- QuestionableBenjamin MorrisonQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableChase LucasUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDamarion WilliamsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDennis HoustonGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDeshawn McKnightHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableJosiah TrotterKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKadarius CallowayUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKemon HallUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKo KieftElbow - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableMarcus BanksUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableSirVocea DennisAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableXavier WilliamsHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
Long-term absences (5)
- SidelinedAntoine Winfield Jr.Ribs - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 6
- SidelinedBaker MayfieldThumb - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 7
- I.L.Jalen McMillanI.L. - Knee - PCL
- I.L.Josh HayesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Mohamed KamaraI.L. - Knee
Detroit Lions
- QuestionableAidan KeanaainaUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableBen BartchFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableCedrick Wilson Jr.Knee - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableDicaprio BootleUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableEmmanuel MoseleyIllness - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableJamarco JonesAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableKye RobichauxFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableLoren StricklandUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableLuke DealUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableMichael NieseLeg - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableRaheem BlackshearUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableRock Ya-SinHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableZach CunninghamHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
Long-term absences (12)
- I.L.Avonte MaddoxI.L. - Foot
- PUP listBrian BranchAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Cade MaysI.L. - Wrist
- I.L.Damone ClarkI.L. - Undisclosed
- NFI listGiovanni ManuKnee - NFI-R for Week 5 at Arizona
- I.L.Isiah PachecoI.L. - Back
- I.L.Kendrick LawI.L. - Knee - ACL
- PUP listKerby JosephKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedMason MillerUndisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Arizona. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Payton TurnerI.L. - Back
- UndisclosedTeddy BridgewaterRetired
- I.L.Thomas HarperI.L. - Ankle
The two teams
| Buccaneers | Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Home | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Away | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Points per game | 19 | 29.8 |
| Points allowed per game | 24 | 31.8 |
| Streak | Lost 4 | Lost 1 |
| Division rank | 4th in the NFC South | 3rd in the NFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record