Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM. Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland.
Texans
1:00 PM
Browns
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Houston Texans
- QuestionableAzeez Al-ShaairGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJaden CrumedyShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJaylin SmithHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJimmie WardFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableKurt HinishUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableKyonte HamiltonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
Long-term absences (16)
- I.L.Ali GayeI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Braden SmithI.L. - Foot
- I.L.British BrooksI.L. - Hamstring
- PersonalCasey ToohillRetired
- I.L.Dylan HortonI.L. - Achilles
- PUP listE.J. SpeedQuadriceps - Physically Unable to Perform
- I.L.Graham MertzI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jake HummelI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Jayden HigginsI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.K.C. OssaiI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Kayden McDonaldI.L. - Ankle
- PUP listM.J. StewartKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Nathaniel DellI.L. - Knee - ACL + MCL
- SidelinedNoah WhittingtonQuadriceps - Out for Week 5 at Tennessee. Expected Return - Week 9
- I.L.Sam HagenI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Solomon ByrdI.L. - Ankle
Cleveland Browns
- QuestionableAaron AndersonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableDom JonesKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableJamari ThrashUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableMason GrahamKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTeven JenkinsBack - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTravis BellEye - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTyreak SappUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTyron HerringUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
Long-term absences (14)
- I.L.Alex WrightI.L. - Achilles
- I.L.Damarri MathisI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Dillon GabrielI.L. - Back
- I.L.Dylan SampsonI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Edefuan UlofoshioI.L. - Biceps
- ConcussionElgton JenkinsInactive for Week 4 vs Pittsburgh
- I.L.Elijah ChatmanI.L. - Quadriceps
- PUP listJeremiah Owusu-KoramoahNeck - Physically Unable to Perform
- NFI listJoe RoyerPersonal - NFI-R for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- SidelinedJustin JeffersonCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs Pittsburgh
- I.L.Kalia DavisI.L. - Quadriceps
- SidelinedNathaniel WatsonKnee - Out for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets. Expected Return - Week 7
- SidelinedTaylen GreenCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Pittsburgh
- KneeTylan WallaceInactive for Week 4 vs Pittsburgh
The two teams
| Texans | Browns | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Home | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Away | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 21 | 20.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 27.3 | 23.8 |
| Streak | Lost 4 | Won 3 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the AFC South | 1st in the AFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record