Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM. Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.
Chiefs
1:00 PM
Falcons
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Kansas City Chiefs
- QuestionableC.J. HansonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableChris OladokunUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableDeon BushAchilles - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableE.J. SmithUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableJosh SimmonsBack - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableRashee RiceHamstring - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
Long-term absences (8)
- I.L.Cooper McDonaldI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Ethan DownsI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jeff CaldwellI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Jimmy HolidayI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.John Michael GyllenborgI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Matt WaletzkoI.L. - Undisclosed
- PUP listOmarr NormanLottKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6
- SidelinedTyquan ThorntonAnkle - Out for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
Atlanta Falcons
- QuestionableJake MatthewsGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableJamal AgnewUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableKevin KingUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableMalik VerdonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableTroy AndersenKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableTyrone Wheatley Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
Long-term absences (15)
- NFI listAnterio ThompsonUndisclosed - NFI-R for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- I.L.Beaux CollinsI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Cameron WilliamsI.L. - Ankle
- SidelinedCooper RushCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- PUP listDeAngelo MaloneUndisclosed - Physically Unable to Perform
- SidelinedEthan OnianwaCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedJack StrandCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.Jalon WalkerI.L. - Knee - ACL
- SidelinedJared IveyCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.JD BertrandI.L. - Undisclosed
- LegKaleb McGaryRetired
- SidelinedMalcom DeWalt IVCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedRobert LongerbeamCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- PUP listStorm NortonFoot - Physically Unable to Perform
- I.L.Trey SermonI.L. - Undisclosed
The two teams
| Chiefs | Falcons | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| Home | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Away | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Points per game | 29.5 | 24 |
| Points allowed per game | 19.3 | 23 |
| Streak | Won 4 | Won 2 |
| Division rank | 1st in the AFC West | 2nd in the NFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record