Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Monday, November 9, 8:15 PM. U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis.
Bills
8:15 PM
Vikings
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Buffalo Bills
- QuestionableChristian BenfordToe - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableDee AlfordAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableDemetrius Flannigan-FowlesUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableDJ MooreShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableEd OliverKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableGrant DuBoseShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableJalen VirgilUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableJordan PhillipsAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableJordan PoyerHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- QuestionableT.J. SandersAppendix - Questionable for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
Long-term absences (4)
- NFI listDorian StrongNeck - NFI-R for Week 5 at L.A. Rams
- I.L.Jordan HancockI.L. - Hamstring
- PUP listTyrell ShaversKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Zane DurantI.L. - Undisclosed
Minnesota Vikings
- QuestionableBrett ThorsonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableCharles DemmingsHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableChristian DarrisawConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJaylon HutchingsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJeff OkudahConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJermar JeffersonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJustin JeffersonAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableKejon OwensIllness - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableLuke WysongUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableMarcus AllenUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableMatt NelsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableTaki TaimaniUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
Long-term absences (10)
- I.L.Benjamin YurosekI.L. - Undisclosed
- UndisclosedC.J. HamRetired
- SidelinedDonovan JacksonKnee - Meniscus - Out for Week 5 at New Orleans
- I.L.Jamal AdamsI.L. - Quadriceps
- I.L.Jordan MasonI.L. - Thumb
- I.L.Josh OliverI.L. - Biceps
- I.L.Michael JurgensI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Nick SamacI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Tyler BattyI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Tyreek ChappellI.L. - Undisclosed
The two teams
| Bills | Vikings | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| Home | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Away | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Points per game | 31.8 | 21.5 |
| Points allowed per game | 26.8 | 12.8 |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Won 4 |
| Division rank | 1st in the AFC East | 1st in the NFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record