Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers
Sunday, November 8, 4:05 PM. SoFi Stadium, Inglewood.
Texans
4:05 PM
Chargers
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Houston Texans
- QuestionableAzeez Al-ShaairGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJaden CrumedyShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJaylin SmithHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJimmie WardFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableKurt HinishUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableKyonte HamiltonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
Long-term absences (16)
- I.L.Ali GayeI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Braden SmithI.L. - Foot
- I.L.British BrooksI.L. - Hamstring
- PersonalCasey ToohillRetired
- I.L.Dylan HortonI.L. - Achilles
- PUP listE.J. SpeedQuadriceps - Physically Unable to Perform
- I.L.Graham MertzI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jake HummelI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Jayden HigginsI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.K.C. OssaiI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Kayden McDonaldI.L. - Ankle
- PUP listM.J. StewartKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Nathaniel DellI.L. - Knee - ACL + MCL
- SidelinedNoah WhittingtonQuadriceps - Out for Week 5 at Tennessee. Expected Return - Week 9
- I.L.Sam HagenI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Solomon ByrdI.L. - Ankle
Los Angeles Chargers
- QuestionableBrenen ThompsonQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableCharlie KolarForearm - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableDalevon CampbellLeg - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableDalvin TomlinsonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableDez FitzpatrickUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableDonte JacksonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableJoe AltNeck - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableKayode AwosikaLower Leg - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableKyle KennardUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableLadd McConkeyFoot - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableLuke GrimmUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableSincere BrownUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableTrevor PenningConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableWill DisslyUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
Long-term absences (10)
- UndisclosedBradley BozemanRetired
- I.L.Branson TaylorI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.David NjokuI.L. - Lower Leg
- I.L.Denzel PerrymanI.L. - Undisclosed
- NFI listIsaiah WorldKnee - NFI-R for Week 5 vs. Denver
- I.L.KeAndre LambertSmithI.L. - Hamstring
- UndisclosedMike WilliamsRoster Exemption
- SidelinedRashawn SlaterAnkle - Out for Week 5 vs. Denver. Expected Return - Week 8
- I.L.Scott MatlockI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Tyler BiadaszI.L. - Knee
The two teams
| Texans | Chargers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Home | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Away | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Points per game | 21 | 16.8 |
| Points allowed per game | 27.3 | 26.5 |
| Streak | Lost 4 | Lost 4 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the AFC South | 4th in the AFC West |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record