New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, November 8, 1:00 PM. Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City.
Jets
1:00 PM
Chiefs
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
New York Jets
- QuestionableAdonai MitchellFinger - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableBreece HallQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableCaullin LacyUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableChase CurtisKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableConnor HulsteinUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableDominic RichardsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableDT SheffieldUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableDylan ParhamKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableGee Scott Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableJarvis BrownleeConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableKeilan RobinsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableKingsley EnagbareKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableMason TaylorThumb - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
Long-term absences (12)
- I.L.Anez CooperI.L. - Shoulder
- I.L.Arian SmithI.L. - Knee - ACL
- SidelinedBraiden McGregorPectoral - Out for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- I.L.Chip TrayanumI.L. - Neck
- I.L.David OnyemataI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Kingsley JonathanI.L. - Thigh
- I.L.Marcelino McCrary-BallI.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Omar Cooper Jr.I.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Tim PatrickI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Tre BrownI.L. - Finger
- PUP listTyler BaronKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.VJ PayneI.L. - Undisclosed
Kansas City Chiefs
- QuestionableC.J. HansonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableChris OladokunUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableDeon BushAchilles - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableE.J. SmithUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableJosh SimmonsBack - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableRashee RiceHamstring - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
Long-term absences (8)
- I.L.Cooper McDonaldI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Ethan DownsI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jeff CaldwellI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Jimmy HolidayI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.John Michael GyllenborgI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Matt WaletzkoI.L. - Undisclosed
- PUP listOmarr NormanLottKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6
- SidelinedTyquan ThorntonAnkle - Out for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
The two teams
| Jets | Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Home | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Away | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Points per game | 19 | 29.5 |
| Points allowed per game | 21 | 19.3 |
| Streak | Lost 3 | Won 4 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the AFC East | 1st in the AFC West |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record