Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sunday, November 1, 1:00 PM. Raymond James Stadium, Tampa.
Falcons
1:00 PM
Buccaneers
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Atlanta Falcons
- QuestionableJake MatthewsGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableJamal AgnewUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableKevin KingUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableMalik VerdonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableTroy AndersenKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableTyrone Wheatley Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
Long-term absences (15)
- NFI listAnterio ThompsonUndisclosed - NFI-R for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- I.L.Beaux CollinsI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Cameron WilliamsI.L. - Ankle
- SidelinedCooper RushCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- PUP listDeAngelo MaloneUndisclosed - Physically Unable to Perform
- SidelinedEthan OnianwaCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedJack StrandCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.Jalon WalkerI.L. - Knee - ACL
- SidelinedJared IveyCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.JD BertrandI.L. - Undisclosed
- LegKaleb McGaryRetired
- SidelinedMalcom DeWalt IVCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedRobert LongerbeamCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- PUP listStorm NortonFoot - Physically Unable to Perform
- I.L.Trey SermonI.L. - Undisclosed
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- QuestionableBenjamin MorrisonQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableChase LucasUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDamarion WilliamsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDennis HoustonGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDeshawn McKnightHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableJosiah TrotterKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKadarius CallowayUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKemon HallUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKo KieftElbow - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableMarcus BanksUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableSirVocea DennisAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableXavier WilliamsHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
Long-term absences (5)
- SidelinedAntoine Winfield Jr.Ribs - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 6
- SidelinedBaker MayfieldThumb - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 7
- I.L.Jalen McMillanI.L. - Knee - PCL
- I.L.Josh HayesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Mohamed KamaraI.L. - Knee
The two teams
| Falcons | Buccaneers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Home | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Away | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Points per game | 24 | 19 |
| Points allowed per game | 23 | 24 |
| Streak | Won 2 | Lost 4 |
| Division rank | 2nd in the NFC South | 4th in the NFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record