Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers
Sunday, October 18, 8:20 PM. Lambeau Field, Green Bay.
Cowboys
8:20 PM
Packers
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Keys
Keys are published on the Thursday of game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Dallas Cowboys
- QuestionableDeMarvion OvershownHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay
- QuestionableDrew SheltonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay
Long-term absences (11)
- I.L.D'Andre RogersI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Devin MooreI.L. - Hip
- I.L.Jalen ThompsonI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Jonathan BullardI.L. - Calf
- I.L.Kelvin GilliamI.L. - Triceps
- I.L.Malik DavisI.L. - Hip
- I.L.Marist LiufauI.L. - Forearm
- I.L.Matt HennessyI.L. - Neck
- I.L.P.J. LockeI.L. - Foot
- I.L.Princeton FantI.L. - Knee - ACL + MCL
- I.L.Tyler SmithI.L. - Thumb
Green Bay Packers
- QuestionableAaron BanksToe - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableAnthony CampbellAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableBrandon CisseNeck - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableIsaiah DunnUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableJacob MonkQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableLuke LacheyFoot - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableMarlon Jones Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionablePierre Strong Jr.Hamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableRJ MarylandHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableTrey Dean IIIUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
Long-term absences (10)
- I.L.Collin OliverI.L. - Achilles
- SidelinedEdgerrin CooperAchilles - Out for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- I.L.Jayden ReedI.L. - Neck
- PUP listJordon RileyAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- PUP listLuke MusgraveNeck - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- PUP listMicah ParsonsKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Savion WilliamsI.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Thomas YassminI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Warren BrinsonI.L. - Calf
- I.L.Zach TomI.L. - Knee
The two teams
| Cowboys | Packers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Home | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Away | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Points per game | 30.5 | 18.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 28 | 26.3 |
| Streak | Won 1 | Won 1 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the NFC East | 4th in the NFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record