Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers
Sunday, October 4, 8:20 PM. Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte.
26
Final
32
Lions 26, Panthers 32
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Recap
Panthers beat Lions 32-26 in Charlotte
The Panthers and Lions were tied 16-16 at halftime. Carolina scored 7 points in the first quarter and 9 in the second, while Detroit answered with 3 and 13. The Panthers outscored the Lions 13-3 in the third quarter and closed out the 32-26 win.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Detroit Lions
- QuestionableAidan KeanaainaUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableBen BartchFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableCedrick Wilson Jr.Knee - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableDicaprio BootleUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableEmmanuel MoseleyIllness - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableJamarco JonesAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableKye RobichauxFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableLoren StricklandUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableLuke DealUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableMichael NieseLeg - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableRaheem BlackshearUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableRock Ya-SinHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableZach CunninghamHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
Long-term absences (12)
- I.L.Avonte MaddoxI.L. - Foot
- PUP listBrian BranchAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Cade MaysI.L. - Wrist
- I.L.Damone ClarkI.L. - Undisclosed
- NFI listGiovanni ManuKnee - NFI-R for Week 5 at Arizona
- I.L.Isiah PachecoI.L. - Back
- I.L.Kendrick LawI.L. - Knee - ACL
- PUP listKerby JosephKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedMason MillerUndisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Arizona. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Payton TurnerI.L. - Back
- UndisclosedTeddy BridgewaterRetired
- I.L.Thomas HarperI.L. - Ankle
Carolina Panthers
- QuestionableAinias SmithUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableAmare BarnoKnee - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableCam'Ron JacksonKnee - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableClaudin CherelusShoulder - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableDamien LewisElbow - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableDan ChisenaUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableJaelan PhillipsHamstring - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableJalen CokerQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableJosey JewellConcussion - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableMonroe FreelingKnee - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableRyan HayesUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableTyler MabryUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
Long-term absences (14)
- I.L.Bam MartinScottI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Brady ChristensenI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Chris Brazzell III.L. - Knee
- PUP listIkem EkwonuKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 9
- I.L.Jaycee HornI.L. - Quadriceps
- I.L.Jonathon BrooksI.L. - Abdomen
- PersonalLaBryan RayRetired
- I.L.Mike JacksonI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Nic CarawayI.L. - Knee - ACL
- NFI listTaylor MotonIllness - NFI-R for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- PUP listTershawn WhartonNeck - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Trevor EtienneI.L. - Ankle
- PersonalWill GrierRetired
- I.L.Xavier LegetteI.L. - Knee
The two teams
| Lions | Panthers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Home | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Away | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 29.8 | 30.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 31.8 | 27.3 |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Won 1 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the NFC North | 1st in the NFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record