Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks
Sunday, October 4, 4:25 PM. Lumen Field, Seattle.
23
Final
30
Chargers 23, Seahawks 30
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Recap
Seahawks beat Chargers 30-23
The Seahawks controlled the first half with 7 points in the first quarter and 13 in the second, leading 20-6 at halftime. They added 10 in the third quarter, and the Chargers scored 7 and 10 in the last two quarters but could not complete a comeback.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Los Angeles Chargers
- QuestionableBrenen ThompsonQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableCharlie KolarForearm - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableDalevon CampbellLeg - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableDalvin TomlinsonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableDez FitzpatrickUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableDonte JacksonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableJoe AltNeck - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableKayode AwosikaLower Leg - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableKyle KennardUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableLadd McConkeyFoot - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableLuke GrimmUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableSincere BrownUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableTrevor PenningConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
- QuestionableWill DisslyUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Denver
Long-term absences (10)
- UndisclosedBradley BozemanRetired
- I.L.Branson TaylorI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.David NjokuI.L. - Lower Leg
- I.L.Denzel PerrymanI.L. - Undisclosed
- NFI listIsaiah WorldKnee - NFI-R for Week 5 vs. Denver
- I.L.KeAndre LambertSmithI.L. - Hamstring
- UndisclosedMike WilliamsRoster Exemption
- SidelinedRashawn SlaterAnkle - Out for Week 5 vs. Denver. Expected Return - Week 8
- I.L.Scott MatlockI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Tyler BiadaszI.L. - Knee
Seattle Seahawks
- QuestionableAaron SmithUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableChazz SurrattCalf - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableHarrison BryantUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableJohnathan HankinsBack - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableJoseph VaughnUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableLeonard WilliamsAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionablePower EcholsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableShane LemieuxUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableShemar Jean-CharlesUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableTy OkadaHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableTyrone BrodenUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
Long-term absences (8)
- I.L.Anthony BradfordI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Bud ClarkI.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Jadarian PriceI.L. - Chest
- I.L.Jake BoboI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Mason RichmanI.L. - Leg
- I.L.Robbie OuztsI.L. - Neck
- PersonalTerrion ArnoldCommissioner's exempt list for Week 5 vs. San Francisco. Expected Return - Week 6
- PUP listZach CharbonnetKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6
The two teams
| Chargers | Seahawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Home | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Away | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 16.8 | 26.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 26.5 | 18.3 |
| Streak | Lost 4 | Won 1 |
| Division rank | 4th in the AFC West | 2nd in the NFC West |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record