Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, October 4, 4:25 PM. Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas.
30
Final
27
Chiefs 30, Raiders 27
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Recap
Chiefs beat Raiders 30-27 in Las Vegas
The Raiders led 13-10 at halftime, with 7 points in the first quarter and 6 in the second. Neither team scored in the third quarter. The Chiefs came back with 20 points in the fourth quarter and won 30-27, despite 14 from the Raiders in that period.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Kansas City Chiefs
- QuestionableC.J. HansonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableChris OladokunUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableDeon BushAchilles - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableE.J. SmithUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableJosh SimmonsBack - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
- QuestionableRashee RiceHamstring - Questionable for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
Long-term absences (8)
- I.L.Cooper McDonaldI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Ethan DownsI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jeff CaldwellI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Jimmy HolidayI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.John Michael GyllenborgI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Matt WaletzkoI.L. - Undisclosed
- PUP listOmarr NormanLottKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6
- SidelinedTyquan ThorntonAnkle - Out for Week 6 vs. L.A. Chargers
Las Vegas Raiders
Nobody on the report.
The two teams
| Chiefs | Raiders | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 3-1 |
| Home | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Away | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Points per game | 29.5 | 28.8 |
| Points allowed per game | 19.3 | 21 |
| Streak | Won 4 | Lost 1 |
| Division rank | 1st in the AFC West | 2nd in the AFC West |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record