Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans
Sunday, October 4, 1:00 PM. Reliant Stadium, Houston.
34
Final
30
Cowboys 34, Texans 30
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Recap
Cowboys beat Texans 34-30 after comeback
The Texans led 16-6 at halftime, with 10 points in the first quarter and 6 in the second. The Cowboys answered with 14 points in the third quarter and another 14 in the fourth to complete the comeback and win 34-30 in Houston.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Dallas Cowboys
- QuestionableDeMarvion OvershownHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay
- QuestionableDrew SheltonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay
Long-term absences (11)
- I.L.D'Andre RogersI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Devin MooreI.L. - Hip
- I.L.Jalen ThompsonI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Jonathan BullardI.L. - Calf
- I.L.Kelvin GilliamI.L. - Triceps
- I.L.Malik DavisI.L. - Hip
- I.L.Marist LiufauI.L. - Forearm
- I.L.Matt HennessyI.L. - Neck
- I.L.P.J. LockeI.L. - Foot
- I.L.Princeton FantI.L. - Knee - ACL + MCL
- I.L.Tyler SmithI.L. - Thumb
Houston Texans
- QuestionableAzeez Al-ShaairGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJaden CrumedyShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJaylin SmithHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableJimmie WardFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableKurt HinishUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
- QuestionableKyonte HamiltonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Tennessee
Long-term absences (16)
- I.L.Ali GayeI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Braden SmithI.L. - Foot
- I.L.British BrooksI.L. - Hamstring
- PersonalCasey ToohillRetired
- I.L.Dylan HortonI.L. - Achilles
- PUP listE.J. SpeedQuadriceps - Physically Unable to Perform
- I.L.Graham MertzI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jake HummelI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Jayden HigginsI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.K.C. OssaiI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Kayden McDonaldI.L. - Ankle
- PUP listM.J. StewartKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Nathaniel DellI.L. - Knee - ACL + MCL
- SidelinedNoah WhittingtonQuadriceps - Out for Week 5 at Tennessee. Expected Return - Week 9
- I.L.Sam HagenI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Solomon ByrdI.L. - Ankle
The two teams
| Cowboys | Texans | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Home | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Away | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Points per game | 30.5 | 21 |
| Points allowed per game | 28 | 27.3 |
| Streak | Won 1 | Lost 4 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the NFC East | 3rd in the AFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record