Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sunday, October 4, 1:00 PM. Raymond James Stadium, Tampa.
17
Final
14
Packers 17, Buccaneers 14
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Recap
Packers beat Buccaneers 17-14
The Packers beat the Buccaneers 17-14 in Tampa in Week 4. Neither team scored in the first quarter. Green Bay put up 10 points in the second quarter to Tampa Bay's 7 and led 10-7 at halftime. The Packers added 7 in the third quarter, and the Buccaneers scored 7 in the fourth.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Green Bay Packers
- QuestionableAaron BanksToe - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableAnthony CampbellAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableBrandon CisseNeck - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableIsaiah DunnUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableJacob MonkQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableLuke LacheyFoot - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableMarlon Jones Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionablePierre Strong Jr.Hamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableRJ MarylandHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- QuestionableTrey Dean IIIUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
Long-term absences (10)
- I.L.Collin OliverI.L. - Achilles
- SidelinedEdgerrin CooperAchilles - Out for Week 5 vs. Chicago
- I.L.Jayden ReedI.L. - Neck
- PUP listJordon RileyAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- PUP listLuke MusgraveNeck - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- PUP listMicah ParsonsKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Savion WilliamsI.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Thomas YassminI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Warren BrinsonI.L. - Calf
- I.L.Zach TomI.L. - Knee
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- QuestionableBenjamin MorrisonQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableChase LucasUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDamarion WilliamsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDennis HoustonGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDeshawn McKnightHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableJosiah TrotterKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKadarius CallowayUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKemon HallUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKo KieftElbow - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableMarcus BanksUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableSirVocea DennisAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableXavier WilliamsHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
Long-term absences (5)
- SidelinedAntoine Winfield Jr.Ribs - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 6
- SidelinedBaker MayfieldThumb - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 7
- I.L.Jalen McMillanI.L. - Knee - PCL
- I.L.Josh HayesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Mohamed KamaraI.L. - Knee
The two teams
| Packers | Buccaneers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Home | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Away | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Points per game | 18.3 | 19 |
| Points allowed per game | 26.3 | 24 |
| Streak | Won 1 | Lost 4 |
| Division rank | 4th in the NFC North | 4th in the NFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record