Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, October 4, 1:00 PM. Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati.
22
Final
17
Jaguars 22, Bengals 17
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Recap
Jaguars beat Bengals 22-17 in Cincinnati
The Jaguars built a 13-3 halftime lead, scoring 10 points in the second quarter. The Bengals put up 7 points in the third quarter and 7 more in the fourth, but could not complete the comeback. Jacksonville held on for a 22-17 final.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Jacksonville Jaguars
Nobody on the report.
Cincinnati Bengals
- QuestionableBJ HillAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
- QuestionableBryan CookAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
- QuestionableColbie YoungKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
- QuestionableJaxson KirklandUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
- QuestionableKyle DuggerQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
- QuestionableSwayze BozemanGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
- QuestionableTee HigginsGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
- QuestionableZack MossNeck - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
Long-term absences (3)
- I.L.Andrei IosivasI.L. - Thumb
- I.L.Brian Parker III.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jalen DavisI.L. - Hamstring
The two teams
| Jaguars | Bengals | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Home | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Away | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 26 | 24.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 13.3 | 21.3 |
| Streak | Won 2 | Lost 2 |
| Division rank | 1st in the AFC South | 4th in the AFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record