New York Jets at Chicago Bears
Sunday, October 4, 1:00 PM. Soldier Field, Chicago.
12
Final
23
Jets 12, Bears 23
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Recap
Bears beat Jets 23-12 in Chicago
The Bears led 13-3 at halftime after scoring 7 points in the first quarter and 6 in the second. The Jets were held scoreless in the first quarter and scored 6 points in the fourth quarter, but could not close the gap. Chicago won 23-12 in Week 4.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
New York Jets
- QuestionableAdonai MitchellFinger - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableBreece HallQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableCaullin LacyUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableChase CurtisKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableConnor HulsteinUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableDominic RichardsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableDT SheffieldUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableDylan ParhamKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableGee Scott Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableJarvis BrownleeConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableKeilan RobinsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableKingsley EnagbareKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableMason TaylorThumb - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
Long-term absences (12)
- I.L.Anez CooperI.L. - Shoulder
- I.L.Arian SmithI.L. - Knee - ACL
- SidelinedBraiden McGregorPectoral - Out for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- I.L.Chip TrayanumI.L. - Neck
- I.L.David OnyemataI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Kingsley JonathanI.L. - Thigh
- I.L.Marcelino McCrary-BallI.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Omar Cooper Jr.I.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Tim PatrickI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Tre BrownI.L. - Finger
- PUP listTyler BaronKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.VJ PayneI.L. - Undisclosed
Chicago Bears
- QuestionableCam LewisHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableDontae ManningUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableGervarrius OwensUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableKenechukwu EziomumeUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableKyle MonangaiThumb - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableKyron HudsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableRicky StrombergUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableTy SummersFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
Long-term absences (16)
- SidelinedAnthony Johnson Jr.Undisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Braxton JonesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Brittain BrownI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedCaleb WilliamsHamstring - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Coby BryantI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Dallis FlowersI.L. - Leg
- UndisclosedDrew DalmanRetired
- I.L.Hayden LargeI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jonathan GarvinI.L. - Undisclosed
- PUP listKyler GordonCalf - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Nephi SewellI.L. - Concussion
- I.L.Nikola KalinicI.L. - Knee
- PUP listNoah SewellAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Ruben Hyppolite III.L. - Shoulder
- PUP listShemar TurnerKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Tony Fields III.L. - Undisclosed
The two teams
| Jets | Bears | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Home | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Away | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Points per game | 19 | 28 |
| Points allowed per game | 21 | 16.3 |
| Streak | Lost 3 | Won 2 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the AFC East | 2nd in the NFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record