Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
Thursday, October 1, 8:15 PM. Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland.
24
Final
27
Steelers 24, Browns 27
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Recap
Browns beat Steelers 27-24
The Browns defeated the Steelers 27-24 in Cleveland. They scored 21 points in the second quarter and led 21-10 at halftime. The Steelers scored 14 points in the fourth quarter, but the Browns held on for the win.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Pittsburgh Steelers
- QuestionableIsrael MukuamuUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableJacob SladeUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableJamel DeanAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableLorenzo ThompsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableMontana LemoniousCraigLower Body - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
Long-term absences (17)
- UndisclosedAdam ThielenRetired
- I.L.Cole BurgessI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Daequan HardyI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Derrick HarmonI.L. - Foot
- I.L.DeShon ElliottI.L. - Undisclosed
- PUP listDonte KentUndisclosed - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedDrew AllarCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- SidelinedEli HeidenreichCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- SidelinedGabriel RubioCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- I.L.Gennings DunkerI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Jack DriscollI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedKevin Jobity Jr.Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- I.L.Logan LeeI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedMax HurlemanUndisclosed - Out for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis. Expected Return - Week 6
- ToeRico DowdleInactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- UndisclosedRobert WoodsRetired
- SidelinedWill HowardCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
Cleveland Browns
- QuestionableAaron AndersonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableDom JonesKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableJamari ThrashUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableMason GrahamKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTeven JenkinsBack - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTravis BellEye - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTyreak SappUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTyron HerringUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
Long-term absences (14)
- I.L.Alex WrightI.L. - Achilles
- I.L.Damarri MathisI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Dillon GabrielI.L. - Back
- I.L.Dylan SampsonI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Edefuan UlofoshioI.L. - Biceps
- ConcussionElgton JenkinsInactive for Week 4 vs Pittsburgh
- I.L.Elijah ChatmanI.L. - Quadriceps
- PUP listJeremiah Owusu-KoramoahNeck - Physically Unable to Perform
- NFI listJoe RoyerPersonal - NFI-R for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- SidelinedJustin JeffersonCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs Pittsburgh
- I.L.Kalia DavisI.L. - Quadriceps
- SidelinedNathaniel WatsonKnee - Out for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets. Expected Return - Week 7
- SidelinedTaylen GreenCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Pittsburgh
- KneeTylan WallaceInactive for Week 4 vs Pittsburgh
The two teams
| Steelers | Browns | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Home | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Away | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 19.3 | 20.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 21.8 | 23.8 |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Won 3 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the AFC North | 1st in the AFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record