Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints
Sunday, September 27, 4:25 PM. Caesars Superdome, New Orleans.
35
Final
27
Raiders 35, Saints 27
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Las Vegas Raiders
Nobody on the report.
New Orleans Saints
- QuestionableBarry WesleyUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- QuestionableDalys BeanumUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- QuestionableDamien AlfordUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- QuestionableDavon GodchauxGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- QuestionableKeeshawn SilverUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
Long-term absences (20)
- KneeAnfernee JenningsInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Bryan BreseeI.L. - Knee - ACL
- AnkleCarl GrandersonInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- SidelinedChristen MillerCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- SidelinedDecamerion RichardsonCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- UndisclosedDerek CarrRetired
- I.L.Dillon RadunzI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jaylan FordI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jordyn TysonI.L. - Hamstring
- CalfKaden EllissInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Kelvin Banks Jr.I.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Lorenzo StylesI.L. - Calf
- PUP listMason TiptonLeg - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Moliki MatavaoI.L. - Knee
- PUP listNick SaldiveriKnee - Physically Unable to Perform
- AbdomenNoah FantInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Rejzohn WrightI.L. - Hip
- I.L.Ty ChandlerI.L. - Knee
- SidelinedZach WilsonCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Zach WoodI.L. - Calf
The two teams
| Raiders | Saints | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Home | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Away | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 28.8 | 26.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 21 | 32 |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Lost 2 |
| Division rank | 2nd in the AFC West | 3rd in the NFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record