All Week 3 games

Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys

Sunday, September 27, 4:25 PM. Maracanã Stadium, Rio De Janeiro.

34
Final
31

Ravens 34, Cowboys 31

The model's pick

The pick is published during game week.

Starting quarterbacks

No starting quarterback data.

Injury report

Baltimore Ravens

  • QuestionableAndrew VorheesFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
  • QuestionableChris MooreAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
  • QuestionableDeonte HartyKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
  • QuestionableDurham SmytheAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
  • QuestionableLamar JacksonAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
  • QuestionableMarlon HumphreyCalf - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
  • QuestionableReid WillifordUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
  • QuestionableRonnie StanleyToe - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
  • QuestionableTrey HendricksonFinger - Questionable for Week 5 at Atlanta
Long-term absences (8)
  • I.L.Adam RandallI.L. - Undisclosed
  • I.L.Bilhal KoneI.L. - Lower Body
  • I.L.Danny PinterI.L. - Knee
  • I.L.Ethan PocicI.L. - Knee
  • I.L.Jahquez RobinsonI.L. - Undisclosed
  • I.L.Jovaughn GwynI.L. - Ankle
  • I.L.Skylar ThompsonI.L. - Undisclosed
  • I.L.T.J. TampaI.L. - Knee

Dallas Cowboys

  • QuestionableDeMarvion OvershownHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay
  • QuestionableDrew SheltonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay
Long-term absences (11)
  • I.L.D'Andre RogersI.L. - Knee
  • I.L.Devin MooreI.L. - Hip
  • I.L.Jalen ThompsonI.L. - Hamstring
  • I.L.Jonathan BullardI.L. - Calf
  • I.L.Kelvin GilliamI.L. - Triceps
  • I.L.Malik DavisI.L. - Hip
  • I.L.Marist LiufauI.L. - Forearm
  • I.L.Matt HennessyI.L. - Neck
  • I.L.P.J. LockeI.L. - Foot
  • I.L.Princeton FantI.L. - Knee - ACL + MCL
  • I.L.Tyler SmithI.L. - Thumb

The two teams

RavensCowboys
Record3-12-2
Home1-11-1
Away2-01-1
Points per game2930.5
Points allowed per game2428
StreakWon 2Won 1
Division rank2nd in the AFC North3rd in the NFC East

How the pick is made

The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.

Method and track record