Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sunday, September 27, 4:05 PM. Raymond James Stadium, Tampa.
23
Final
16
Vikings 23, Buccaneers 16
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Minnesota Vikings
- QuestionableBrett ThorsonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableCharles DemmingsHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableChristian DarrisawConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJaylon HutchingsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJeff OkudahConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJermar JeffersonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJustin JeffersonAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableKejon OwensIllness - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableLuke WysongUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableMarcus AllenUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableMatt NelsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableTaki TaimaniUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
Long-term absences (10)
- I.L.Benjamin YurosekI.L. - Undisclosed
- UndisclosedC.J. HamRetired
- SidelinedDonovan JacksonKnee - Meniscus - Out for Week 5 at New Orleans
- I.L.Jamal AdamsI.L. - Quadriceps
- I.L.Jordan MasonI.L. - Thumb
- I.L.Josh OliverI.L. - Biceps
- I.L.Michael JurgensI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Nick SamacI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Tyler BattyI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Tyreek ChappellI.L. - Undisclosed
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- QuestionableBenjamin MorrisonQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableChase LucasUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDamarion WilliamsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDennis HoustonGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDeshawn McKnightHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableJosiah TrotterKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKadarius CallowayUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKemon HallUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKo KieftElbow - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableMarcus BanksUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableSirVocea DennisAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableXavier WilliamsHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
Long-term absences (5)
- SidelinedAntoine Winfield Jr.Ribs - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 6
- SidelinedBaker MayfieldThumb - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 7
- I.L.Jalen McMillanI.L. - Knee - PCL
- I.L.Josh HayesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Mohamed KamaraI.L. - Knee
The two teams
| Vikings | Buccaneers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Home | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Away | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Points per game | 21.5 | 19 |
| Points allowed per game | 12.8 | 24 |
| Streak | Won 4 | Lost 4 |
| Division rank | 1st in the NFC North | 4th in the NFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record