All Week 3 games

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers

Sunday, September 27, 4:05 PM. Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara.

30
Final
36

Cardinals 30, 49ers 36

The model's pick

The pick is published during game week.

Starting quarterbacks

No starting quarterback data.

Injury report

Arizona Cardinals

  • QuestionableAndre BaccelliaNeck - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Detroit
  • QuestionableAndrew WingardKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Detroit
  • QuestionableBilal NicholsKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Detroit
  • QuestionableDadrion TaylorDemersonBack - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Detroit
  • QuestionableHunter LongKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Detroit
  • QuestionableIsaiah AdamsAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Detroit
  • QuestionableJeremiyah LoveAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Detroit
  • QuestionableJonah WilliamsShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Detroit
  • QuestionableJosh MinkinsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Detroit
  • QuestionableJustin JonesKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Detroit
  • QuestionableKenny YeboahHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Detroit
  • QuestionableXavier WeaverHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Detroit
Long-term absences (11)
  • I.L.Chase BisontisI.L. - Knee - MCL
  • I.L.James ConnerI.L. - Foot
  • I.L.Jameson GeersI.L. - Undisclosed
  • I.L.Joey BlountI.L. - Neck
  • I.L.Kaleb ProctorI.L. - Knee - Meniscus
  • I.L.Kitan CrawfordI.L. - Ankle
  • SidelinedParis Johnson Jr.Biceps - Out for Week 5 vs. Detroit
  • PUP listTip ReimanAnkle - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
  • I.L.Trey BensonI.L. - Knee
  • I.L.Will JohnsonI.L. - Neck
  • I.L.Zach CarterI.L. - Knee

San Francisco 49ers

  • QuestionableIsaiah PrinceKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Seattle
  • QuestionableJames Thompson Jr.Ankle - Questionable for Week 5 at Seattle
  • QuestionableKyle JuszczykKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Seattle
  • QuestionableMarques SigleAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Seattle
  • QuestionableNick BosaCalf - Questionable for Week 5 at Seattle
Long-term absences (16)
  • I.L.Alfred CollinsI.L. - Knee
  • I.L.Austen PleasantsI.L. - Knee
  • PersonalBrandon AiyukDid Not Report
  • I.L.Brett TothI.L. - Concussion
  • I.L.Christian KirkI.L. - Calf
  • I.L.Darrick ForrestI.L. - Undisclosed
  • I.L.Demarcus RobinsonI.L. - Ankle
  • PUP listIsaac GuerendoPectoral - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
  • I.L.Jake TongesI.L. - Knee - MCL
  • I.L.Mikail KamaraI.L. - Knee
  • PUP listMykel WilliamsKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
  • I.L.Nate HobbsI.L. - Groin
  • I.L.Nick ZakeljI.L. - Undisclosed
  • I.L.Nickolas MartinI.L. - Hamstring
  • I.L.Ricky PearsallI.L. - Knee - PCL
  • I.L.Sam OkuayinonuI.L. - Foot

The two teams

Cardinals49ers
Record1-34-0
Home0-13-0
Away1-21-0
Points per game21.830.5
Points allowed per game29.316
StreakLost 3Won 4
Division rank4th in the NFC West1st in the NFC West

How the pick is made

The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.

Method and track record