New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, September 27, 1:00 PM. EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville.
6
Final
35
Patriots 6, Jaguars 35
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
New England Patriots
Nobody on the report.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Nobody on the report.
The two teams
| Patriots | Jaguars | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Home | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Away | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 16.3 | 26 |
| Points allowed per game | 19.3 | 13.3 |
| Streak | Won 1 | Won 2 |
| Division rank | 2nd in the AFC East | 1st in the AFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record