New York Jets at Detroit Lions
Sunday, September 27, 1:00 PM. Ford Field, Detroit.
24
Final
31
Jets 24, Lions 31
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
New York Jets
- QuestionableAdonai MitchellFinger - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableBreece HallQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableCaullin LacyUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableChase CurtisKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableConnor HulsteinUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableDominic RichardsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableDT SheffieldUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableDylan ParhamKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableGee Scott Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableJarvis BrownleeConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableKeilan RobinsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableKingsley EnagbareKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- QuestionableMason TaylorThumb - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
Long-term absences (12)
- I.L.Anez CooperI.L. - Shoulder
- I.L.Arian SmithI.L. - Knee - ACL
- SidelinedBraiden McGregorPectoral - Out for Week 5 vs. Cleveland
- I.L.Chip TrayanumI.L. - Neck
- I.L.David OnyemataI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Kingsley JonathanI.L. - Thigh
- I.L.Marcelino McCrary-BallI.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Omar Cooper Jr.I.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Tim PatrickI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Tre BrownI.L. - Finger
- PUP listTyler BaronKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.VJ PayneI.L. - Undisclosed
Detroit Lions
- QuestionableAidan KeanaainaUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableBen BartchFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableCedrick Wilson Jr.Knee - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableDicaprio BootleUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableEmmanuel MoseleyIllness - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableJamarco JonesAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableKye RobichauxFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableLoren StricklandUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableLuke DealUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableMichael NieseLeg - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableRaheem BlackshearUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableRock Ya-SinHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- QuestionableZach CunninghamHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
Long-term absences (12)
- I.L.Avonte MaddoxI.L. - Foot
- PUP listBrian BranchAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Cade MaysI.L. - Wrist
- I.L.Damone ClarkI.L. - Undisclosed
- NFI listGiovanni ManuKnee - NFI-R for Week 5 at Arizona
- I.L.Isiah PachecoI.L. - Back
- I.L.Kendrick LawI.L. - Knee - ACL
- PUP listKerby JosephKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedMason MillerUndisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Arizona. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Payton TurnerI.L. - Back
- UndisclosedTeddy BridgewaterRetired
- I.L.Thomas HarperI.L. - Ankle
The two teams
| Jets | Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Home | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Away | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Points per game | 19 | 29.8 |
| Points allowed per game | 21 | 31.8 |
| Streak | Lost 3 | Lost 1 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the AFC East | 3rd in the NFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record