Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys
Sunday, September 20, 4:25 PM. AT&T Stadium, Arlington.
20
Final
37
Commanders 20, Cowboys 37
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Washington Commanders
- QuestionableCharles OmenihuGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableCurtis JacobsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableJacoby JonesUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableJayden DanielsElbow - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableJeremy ReavesFinger - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableLogan ThomasKnee
- QuestionableMarcus MariotaKnee - MCL - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableMarvin Jones Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableNick CrossIllness - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableQuentin MooreUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableRachaad WhiteShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableRiver CracraftUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableTerry McLaurinHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableTyler CooperUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableTyler OwensHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
Long-term absences (10)
- PersonalAhkello WitherspoonRetired
- SidelinedChase YoungKnee
- PUP listDeatrich Wise Jr.Quadriceps - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedJaylin LaneAnkle - Out for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- I.L.Jeremy McNicholsI.L. - Quadriceps
- I.L.Jordan MageeI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Laremy TunsilI.L. - Triceps
- I.L.Leo ChenalI.L. - Neck
- PersonalNick BelloreRetired
- I.L.Trey AmosI.L. - Ankle
Dallas Cowboys
- QuestionableDeMarvion OvershownHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay
- QuestionableDrew SheltonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay
Long-term absences (11)
- I.L.D'Andre RogersI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Devin MooreI.L. - Hip
- I.L.Jalen ThompsonI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Jonathan BullardI.L. - Calf
- I.L.Kelvin GilliamI.L. - Triceps
- I.L.Malik DavisI.L. - Hip
- I.L.Marist LiufauI.L. - Forearm
- I.L.Matt HennessyI.L. - Neck
- I.L.P.J. LockeI.L. - Foot
- I.L.Princeton FantI.L. - Knee - ACL + MCL
- I.L.Tyler SmithI.L. - Thumb
The two teams
| Commanders | Cowboys | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Home | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Away | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 22 | 30.5 |
| Points allowed per game | 30.5 | 28 |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Won 1 |
| Division rank | 4th in the NFC East | 3rd in the NFC East |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record